Trend Following vs Algo Trading

Every Elliott Wave Plus subscriber receives our trend following charts each night following the close of the U.S stock market. We believe that these trend charts are valuable trading tools, and everyone should be aware of them. But does that make it a perfect system? The short answer is…no.

We take a look at our Daily Trend Report charts in direct comparison to our Nightly Algo trade signals. They might look similar, but the Algo signals have one major advantage. You’ll see why in the video below, which is an excerpt of the previous week’s webinar. Premium Plan subscribers receive the Nightly Algo Report every evening, as well as weekly access to Sid’s Elliott Wave “counts” webinar, bi-weekly screenshots, and the Daily Trend Report. 

How the Wave Principle Can Improve Your Trading

Every trader, every analyst and every technician has favorite techniques to use when trading. But where traditional technical studies fall short, the Wave Principle kicks in to show high-probability price targets. Just as important, it can distinguish high-probability trade setups from the ones that traders should ignore.

Who Could Have Predicted This Huge Down Move In The Market?

On November 15, 2019, the S&P-500 reached 3120 for the first time ever. For the next 63 trading days, the S&P continued relentlessly higher, topping on Feb 19 at 3393. Just four days later, the S&P was back down to 3120, almost instantly erasing three full months of gains! Nobody could have seen that coming ahead of time, could they? We know of at least one person who did.

Have We Reached An Unsustainable Situation?

Gold & Bonds are typically correlated. As of this writing, that historic relationship appears to be intact.  Compare that to Gold & the U.S dollar. Those two items typically move opposite (inverse) of each other. However, since mid-July 2019, they have generally been moving up and down together.
Bonds, which are the most popular alternative to stock ownership in the investment world, typically move opposite of the stock market. However, ever since the start of the new year (2020), stocks, bonds, gold and the US Dollar have all been rallying together.  Is this a distortion that has developed because of mid-October 2019 Fed announcement of QE?  Many think so.  If so however, there was a delayed reaction of 2.5 months.

When the Stock Market Goes Down, Gold Goes Up. Right?

During the Jan 19 webinar, Sid showed an intermediate-term chart of Gold and the S&P-500 Index, one overlaid upon the other. The chart clearly showed that gold and the stock market don’t always move inversely, as many seem to believe. Sometimes the two items move opposite each other, but other times they generally move together, in positive correlation. For instance, since early October 2019, the two items have generally been moving to the upside together.
This video clip, taken from that January 19 weekly “Counts” webinar includes Sid’s discussion of the above myth, as well as his chart of Gold vs. the S&P. For those who believe that Gold will “save them” when the stock market crashes next, the video is worthy of consideration.
Are there potential trading profits to be made on both the upside and downside of the S&P as well as Gold? Absolutely. But the two items really should be analyzed and traded independently.
Bonus screenshot from the January 26 weekly webinar. Notice how highly correlated the S&P and the XAU (Gold & Silver Sector Index) have been since early October.

Trading AAPL (Apple Stock) with Precision Timing!

During the June 2 weekly webinar, Sid expected an important bottom was imminent for AAPL. That bottom came in the very next day. From there, Sid predicted a push to the upside for the rest of the month. He stated in the weekly webinar that AAPL would reach a top near the end of July. The stock peaked on July 31 and continued to meticulously follow Sid’s Elliott Wave count.